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Key developments
+2
events added
53 total
Events added this run
SaaS Structural Selloff — PE Arbitrage Signal World ID 4 Human Verification
Post ideas
What patient capital sees that public markets don't THREAD
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Seva Ustinov @sevaustinov 1/3

PE firms are making take-private bids on SaaS companies at historic discounts. Thoma Bravo. Vista Equity. IGV is down 23% YTD.

126/280 ✓
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Seva Ustinov @sevaustinov 2/3

Public markets repriced software for permanent disruption. PE is betting that's an overreaction — or at least, that the overreaction creates arbitrage worth acting on.

167/280 ✓
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Seva Ustinov @sevaustinov 3/3

The question patient capital is asking: which SaaS companies get disrupted into obsolescence vs. which ones get repriced and re-rate? The answer is in the pricing model, not the product category.

195/280 ✓
PE arbitrage as signal, not just opportunism
AI agent proliferation is building a new verification industry
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Seva Ustinov
@sevaustinov

Sam Altman's Worldcoin just launched World ID 4 — iris-scanning human verification at consumer scale. AI agent proliferation is turning 'prove you're human' into a growth category. The side effects of agentic AI are building their own companies.

Side effects of agentic AI create categories 245/280 ✓
The SaaS discount is a thesis bet, not a market verdict
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Seva Ustinov
@sevaustinov

Software is trading at a discount to the S&P 500 for the first time ever. That's not a market verdict — it's a thesis bet. PE is taking the other side. Someone is going to be right about AI's long-run impact on SaaS, and the stakes are high.

Someone is wrong about AI's long-run SaaS impact 241/280 ✓
Comment opportunities
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Jason Lemkin @jasonlk · Apr 18

PE firms are making take-private bids on SaaS at historic discounts. Thoma Bravo. Vista Equity. They are betting the market overcorrected. Software has never traded at a discount to the S&P. This is a once-in-20-year setup.

290K views7.1K likes1.5K reposts
Reply · Patient capital vs. panic pricing
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Seva Ustinov
@sevaustinov

PE firms are making take-private bids on SaaS companies at historic discounts. Thoma Bravo, Vista Equity. The market repriced software for permanent disruption. Patient money is betting that's wrong.

199/280 ✓
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Sam Altman @sama · Apr 18

world id 4 is here. as AI agents proliferate, proving you're human matters more and more. we think this is infrastructure the world will need.

1.8M views35K likes6.2K reposts
Reply · AI agent proliferation creates verification growth category
S
Seva Ustinov
@sevaustinov

World ID 4 launched: iris-scanning human verification at consumer scale. AI agent proliferation is turning 'prove you're human' into a growth category. The side effects of agentic AI are building companies.

206/280 ✓
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Benedict Evans @benedictevans · Apr 18

Software is trading below the S&P 500 for the first time in history. Either AI disruption is real and total, or we're in a classic panic-pricing cycle and PE is right. Both can't be true simultaneously.

142K views3.9K likes780 reposts
Reply · Thesis bet, not market verdict
S
Seva Ustinov
@sevaustinov

Software trades at a discount to the S&P for the first time ever. Not a verdict — a thesis bet. PE is taking the other side. The spread between those two positions is where the next big returns will come from.

209/280 ✓